APWU Milwaukee Area Local 3
9/9/25
The Importance of
Accurate Data Provided
by the Bureau of Labor
Statistics
(This article appeared in the September/October 2025
issue of The American Postal Worker magazine)
On Aug. 1, the U.S. president fired the Bureau of Labor
Statistics (BLS) Director Erika McEntarfer. This job is
historically apolitical and is held by expert economists
who look at data, not politics. McEntarfer was fi red
after the BLS released a jobs report that showed slow
growth in July, while numbers for May and June were
revised down. It is common for this monthly report to
include revisions up or down for previously reported
months.
If you are asking why I am writing about this, it is
because the data that comes out of the BLS directly
impacts you and your pay. The APWU also uses BLS
data in contract negotiations, labor research, and
preparation for future negotiations. Having reliable,
apolitical data that is not influenced by one political
party or another, is vital to the integrity of some of our
contract provisions.
In the several collective bargaining agreements
between the APWU and the Postal Service, including
the National Agreement covering clerks, maintenance,
motor vehicle, operating services, and material
support services employees; Information
Technology/Accounting Services; and Human
Resources Shared Service Center; career employees
receive cost-of-living adjustments (COLAs) based on
changes to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for Urban
Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (1967=100). Postal
nurses rely on the Employment Cost Index (ECI) for
their annual pay increases. It is not just current
workers who rely on BLS data for pay increases. Postal
retirees, Social Security recipients, and those receiving
workers’ compensation payments also rely on the BLS
data sets for their annual increases. Having accurate
and apolitical data is vital to ensuring pay increases
accurately reflect inflation.
What may seem like a mundane unimportant
executive dismissal is alarming to the Industrial
Relations Department.
What if we can no longer trust the data being
released? Will the data truly reflect what is happening
in the economy? Or is the data being manipulated to
please one person in power? No matter the party of
the president in office at the time, this data must
remain apolitical.
On Aug. 12, the CPI data for the second COLA of the
main National Agreement was released. Our
calculations show that the next COLA will be an $811
annual increase for career employees. Inflation has
been trending upwards. But should this be a higher
amount? Was this really the inflation we are seeing in
the economy, or was it manipulated to please
someone?
“It’s the economy, stupid,” said James Carville when
advising former President Bill Clinton in his run for the
White House. Economic numbers matter to people in
elections. High inflation ends politicians’ careers. One
could think that manipulating inflation to appear lower
than it actually is could happen if it helps someone
politically. Especially if they campaigned on lower
consumer prices on their first day in office.
Higher COLAs mean you are paying more for your
everyday goods, food, energy, housing, cars, and more.
Yes, they do help recover lost buying power due to
inflationary pressures. A higher COLA means it costs
you more to live. A lower COLA or even a zero COLA
means inflation is under control or even that prices are
deflating. When we do receive a COLA, I would want to
make sure all the data they are based on is accurate.
You can tell whether or not the data is accurate just by
going to the grocery store and buying meat, milk, or
vegetables. In the film The Wizard of Oz, it was the
Great and Powerful Oz who said, “Pay no attention to
that man behind the curtain.” Well, when it comes to
our pay, we need to be paying attention to the man
behind the curtain to make sure we are not conned
out of what we are contractually owed.